London: The New Crossroads of Trade
A Frozen Bridge for U.S.-China Relations A Welcoming Embrace for India 24th July 2025 As two tectonic shifts in global trade diplomacy unfold in London, the city once again finds itself a crucible for competing visions of globalisation. On one side, a faltering relationship between the United States and China teeters on the edge of renewed hostility, even as both parties prepare for a new round of negotiations. On the other, the arrival of India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi marks the culmination of an ambitious UK-India trade pact, one being hailed as a milestone for post-Brexit Britain. These developments — playing out simultaneously in the same city — offer a revealing snapshot of the state of international trade, diplomacy, and strategic alignment in 2025. A Frozen Bridge for U.S.-China Relations Tensions between the U.S. and China remain acute. Despite a cordial front and public statements calling for “mutual respect” and “win-win cooperation”, trade between the two economic giants has stalled in key sectors. U.S. exports of crude oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and coal to China hit zero last month — a stark indicator of deepening friction. According to Chinese customs data, energy imports from the U.S. began collapsing in March when Beijing imposed retaliatory tariffs of 10–15% in response to American pressure. Washington’s rhetoric has veered between conciliation and brinkmanship. Treasury officials have suggested the relationship is “in a good place”, yet President Trump has issued an ultimatum: reach a deal by 12 August or face even steeper tariffs. With energy trade halted and broader economic trust eroded, negotiations now risk becoming performative rather than productive. Warm Welcome for India In stark contrast, Narendra Modi’s visit to London signals a rare bright spot in international trade. The UK-India trade deal, finalised this week, marks the most significant bilateral agreement for Britain since its departure from the European Union. It promises liberalised trade across goods, digital services, pharmaceuticals, and the movement of skilled labour. Symbolically and strategically, this partnership demonstrates both countries’ pivot away from traditional Atlantic alignments and towards a multipolar future. For India, this is part of a broader push to assert itself as a manufacturing and technological alternative to China. For the UK, the deal is a concrete step in delivering on the promise of “Global Britain” and diversifying supply chains beyond the EU and China. Diplomacy in a Fragmented World The juxtaposition of these two developments in London underscores the shifting tides in global diplomacy. Whereas Cold War-era alignments once dominated the international order, the 21st century is increasingly shaped by regional partnerships, transactional diplomacy, and contested norms of engagement. The China-U.S. standoff reflects a breakdown of trust between the two largest economies, with energy trade — a pillar of past cooperation — now weaponised. Meanwhile, India’s alignment with the UK symbolises a constructive alternative: partnerships built on shared democratic values, strategic interests, and mutual economic gain. Implications for Globalism and Security These contrasting stories also point to diverging models of globalisation. One is increasingly fragmented, shaped by tariffs, coercion, and rivalry. The other is cautiously optimistic, rooted in bilateralism and cooperation among emerging and middle powers. Yet the implications go beyond trade flows. A prolonged breakdown between China and the U.S. risks fuelling economic decoupling, reshaping energy markets, and accelerating the formation of parallel financial systems. Meanwhile, strengthened ties between countries like India and the UK could create new centres of influence, challenging traditional global institutions. London, long a symbol of open markets and internationalism, now hosts both a high-stakes power play and a hopeful handshake. The outcomes of these two engagements will reverberate well beyond the city — shaping not only trade balances, but the future of global diplomacy itself.
Strengthening Ties in West Africa: A Strategic Visit to Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana
22nd July 2025 Gapuma Group Managing Director, Jack Bardakjian, recently completed a high-level visit to two of our key West African markets — Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana — accompanied by our Senior Biofuels Trader, Rafael Fraletti. The visit reaffirmed our long-standing commitment to building sustainable partnerships, supporting local infrastructure, and reinforcing operational excellence in the region. As our global portfolio evolves in line with the energy transition, West Africa is playing an increasingly vital role in our biofuels and logistics strategy. With Rafael based in Gapuma’s Swiss Office — the nerve centre of our biofuels operation — this mission combined executive leadership with commercial expertise on the ground. From strategic meetings with clients to warehouse visits in Abidjan and Accra, the trip served to deepen relationships, assess new opportunities, and ensure our growth remains aligned with local realities and regional ambitions. These in-person engagements also reflect Gapuma’s operational philosophy: that reliability in global supply chains is built not just on trade routes and systems, but on trust, presence, and long-term commitment. By maintaining close contact with partners across West Africa, we continue to enhance the resilience of our operations — from Geneva to Ghana, and every step in between. As the world shifts toward cleaner, more responsible energy sources, Gapuma remains at the forefront of ethical trading and sustainable innovation. This visit marks another meaningful milestone in our shared journey toward a smarter, more inclusive global energy future.
From Golden Fields to Global Tables: Gapuma’s First Wheat Harvest in Serbia
3rd July 2025 It is harvest time in Serbia, and as sunlight glints off the golden fields of Vojvodina, Gapuma proudly marks a major milestone — our first wheat crop in the region. This inaugural harvest represents more than a successful growing season. It signals the expansion of our agricultural presence in Serbia and the beginning of a broader commitment to high-quality, sustainable food production. The wheat will be stored in our own advanced 22,000 metric tonne storage facility located in Žabalj, positioning us at the heart of Serbia’s most productive agricultural zone. Wheat is just the start. With soya and maize also under cultivation, our harvests will support a growing network of trusted partners across Europe and beyond. From seed to silo, Gapuma is dedicated to contributing to long-term food security, regional resilience, and responsible agri-trade. We are proud to be part of a new agricultural chapter in Serbia — one rooted in quality, innovation, and a shared vision for nourishing communities across borders.